Evidence across applications

What improves, and how do we know?

Place-based prediction

Modest reductions with visible patrols

Evaluate the tool and the operational response together.

Person-based prediction

Fairness and effectiveness concerns

Examine errors, consequences, and evidence quality.

Identification & detection

Some process benefits; crime effects unproven

Separate faster operations from public outcomes.

Administrative AI

Limited evaluation evidence

Test usefulness in a bounded workflow before scaling.

Qualitative synthesis of our team’s review, not a numerical ranking. Findings depend on the technology, study design, and setting.

Guler, A., Boke, K., & Kula, S. (2026). AI in Policing: A Systematic Review of AI Use in the US Law Enforcement. In L. Huey, L. Ferguson, & I. T. Adams (Eds.), Future Policing: Technology and Transformation. Routledge. Publication (opens in a new tab)

The research

The review finds mixed evidence. Place-based predictive policing shows modest crime reductions when paired with visible patrols, while person-based models raise concerns about fairness and effectiveness. Facial recognition and gunshot detection can improve some operational processes, but consistent crime reductions have not been demonstrated.

Why it matters

Operational benefits and broader public outcomes need separate evaluation. Decisions about AI should consider the specific application, transparency, procedural fairness, oversight, and independent assessment.

What to keep in mind

Many applications remain insufficiently evaluated, particularly tools intended to improve administrative efficiency. Evidence varies by technology and setting, and longer-term research is needed to assess outcomes and impacts.

Publication

Guler, A., Boke, K., & Kula, S. (2026). AI in Policing: A Systematic Review of AI Use in the US Law Enforcement. In L. Huey, L. Ferguson, & I. T. Adams (Eds.), Future Policing: Technology and Transformation. Routledge.

Read the original publication (opens in a new tab)
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